With UFC 111 set to be broadcast live on pay-per-view tomorrow night from the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, it is fight prediction time once again here at MMAFrenzy.
PAY-PER-VIEW MAIN CARD:
Georges St-Pierre vs. Dan Hardy (welterweight championship):
Though Hardy has clearly demonstrated his ability to end a fight with one punch, I expect him to get overwhelmed by the champion St-Pierre. I expect St-Pierre to take Hardy down early and often, and generally dominate him on the canvas with his high level wrestling. I predict that St-Pierre will be so dominant and controlling that he will secure a TKO victory due to ground ‘n pound sometime in the third round.
Frank Mir vs. Shane Carwin (interim heavyweight championship):
This is essentially a battle to determine who gets the next crack at heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar. Carwin is undefeated in his MMA career, having ended every fight in less than 2:30. Mir will be the toughest test of Carwin’s career, but I expect that Carwin will continue his string of first round knockouts by catching Mir early with a huge right hand.
Jon Fitch vs. Ben Saunders:
Though Saunders has shown a lot of guts by stepping up to face Fitch after Alves was forced off the card, I don’t think he’ll have much to offer against the former title contender. Fitch’s teammate Mike Swick previously defeated Saunders, and I believe that Fitch is a better fighter than Swick. Either Fitch will grind out yet another decision, or he will get his first finish in two and a half years by earning a second round TKO.
Jim Miller vs. Mark Bocek:
This bout could have one of two themes; either it is an exciting ground battle, or Miller will use his grappling skills to keep the fight standing and look to out box Bocek. No matter where the fight goes, I expect Miller to get the win, but it will most likely be a decision. Both fighters have exceptional submission skills, and either could catch the other and force them to tap, but I think their defense will nullify and we won’t see such an outcome.
Kurt Pellegrino vs. Fabricio Camoes:
Camoes will pose several threats to Pellegrino in this bout, both with the possibility to outstrike him or submit him on the ground, but I expect Pellegrino to be buoyed by the hometown crowd. “Batman” has put together a three fight win streak since losing to Nate Diaz in April, 2008, and has the wrestling ability to grind out a decision against Camoes. My prediction is just that, a decision victory for the hometown Pellegrino.
SPIKETV TELEVISED PRELIMINARIES:
Nate Diaz vs. Rory Markham:
This bout will be the welterweight debut for TUF 5 winner Nate Diaz, as he moves up from lightweight and faces a stiff opponent in Rory Markham. If this bout goes to the ground Diaz would have a clear edge in skill, but I expect the Cesar Gracie product to attempt to use his boxing to win this fight, which will put him at risk of Markham’s fight ending striking. Also, Diaz has shown a weakness in the strength department when facing larger lightweights, and at a heavier weight class I expect that problem to be exacerbated. As a result, though Diaz is the odds on favorite in this fight, I’m picking Markham for the upset with a second round TKO. In full disclosure, however, that is partly motivated by my desire to see Diaz lose.
Ricardo Almeida vs. Matt Brown:
Almeida is a New Jersey native and is making his first cut down to welterweight from middleweight and faces a gritty opponent in Brown. Both fighters are currently riding winning streaks, and Brown has shown a lot of improvement of his last few fights, but I believe that Almeida’s ground game will overwhelm him leading to a first round submission.
UN-TELEVISED PRELIMINARY QUICK PICKS:
- Rodney Wallace vs. Jared Hamman: Wallace via second round TKO.
- Rousimar Palhares vs. Tomasz Drwal: Palhares via second round submission.
- Matt Riddle vs. Greg Soto: Riddle via first round TKO.
Stay tuned to MMAFrenzy.com for complete UFC 111 coverage, including live UFC 111 results tomorrow, as welterweight champ Georges St-Pierre faces challenger Dan Hardy and heavyweight contenders Shane Carwin and Frank Mir clash for the interim heavyweight title.