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UFC TUF Brazil 3 Breakdown: Stipe Miocic vs. Fabio Maldonado

Andrew Ravens

UFC TUF Brazil 3

The Fighters

MMA: UFC 161-Nelson vs Miocic

#7 Stipe Miocic (11-1) He has seven knockouts, 1 submission and 3 decision victories while he has only one loss and that came by knockout. Prior to joining the UFC he was on a six fight winning streak. He made his UFC debut against Joey Beltran which he beat him via unanimous decision at UFC 136 – Edgar vs. Maynard 3 on Oct / 08 / 2011.In his last four fights he is 3-1. He beat Shane Del Rosario via TKO at UFC 146 – Dos Santos vs. Meir on May / 26 / 2012, but lost to Stefan Struve via TKO at UFC on Fuel TV 5 – Struve vs. Miocic on Sep / 29 / 2012. He has since won two straight fights, he beat Roy Nelson via unanimous decision at UFC 161 – Evans vs. Henderson on Jun / 15 / 2013 and then Gabriel Gonzaga via unanimous decision at UFC on Fox 10 – Henderson vs. Thomson on Jan / 25 / 2014.

MMA: UFC Fight Night 29-Weigh-ins

Fabio Maldonado (21-6) He has 12 knockouts, 3 submissions and 6 decision victories while he has been knocked out once, submitted twice and lost by decision three times. Prior to joining the UFC he was on a ten fight winning streak. He made his UFC debut against which he won James McSweeney by TKO at UFC 120 – Bisping vs. Akiyama on Oct / 16 / 2010. He lost his next three fights, Roger Hollett via unanimous decision at UFC – The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale on Jun / 04 / 2011, Igor Pokrajac via unanimous decision at UFC on Fuel TV 3 – Korean Zombie vs. Poirier on May / 15 / 2012 and then Glover Teixeira via TKO at UFC 153 – Silva vs. Bonnar on Oct / 13 / 2012. He has since went on a three fight winning streak. He beat Roger Hollett via unanimous decision at UFC on FX 8 – Belfort vs. Rockhold on May / 18 / 2013, Joey Beltran via split decision at UFC Fight Night – Maia vs. Shields on Oct / 09 / 2013 and in his last fight he beat Gian Villante via unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night – Shogun vs. Henderson 2 on Mar / 23 / 2014.

Comparisons

Knockouts: Miocic has seven knockouts, while Maldonado has 12. Miocic has a 77% knockout rate compared to Maldonado, who has 62%.

Submissions: Maldonado has a 10% submission win rate compared to Miocic who has 0%.

Decisions: Maldonado has 29% decision wins compared to Miocic who has 27%.

Striking: Maldonado lands a very impressive 6.2 strikes per minute while Miocic lands 5.18 per minute. Maldonado has 60% striking accuracy compared to Miocic who has 46%. Maldonado absorbed 4 strikes per minute compared to Miocic who absorbed 3.19% strikes per minute. Miocic has a better striking defense with 64% compared to Maldonado, who has 54%.

Grappling: Miocic has 2.15 takedown average compared to Maldonado, who likes to stand has 0.47. When Maldonado wants to take you down, he does. He has 50% takedown accuracy compared to Miocic who has 42%. Miocic has 77% takedown defense compared to Maldonado, who has 66%.

Final Verdict: This fight is very simple, if Maldonado can keep it standing, then he has the advantage over Miocic. However Miocic does things well standing, just not to the same level as Maldonado. It’s simple they could stand and Miocic would be taking a risk against Maldonado. Predictability is the key to this fight, everyone thinks that Miocic will come out and bang, however, he needs to put Maldonado on his back and ground and pound.

All stats are from UFC.com. What do you think? Let me know in the comment area below.

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