Well, it is finally here, the reigning, defending, UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Jon Jones takes on what could be his toughest opponent ever, but definitely the guy he needs to take care of this Saturday night.
This is not a prediction column, this is a statistics point of view.
The champion (19-1) is coming into this fight into this fight with a ten fight winning streak. He defeated Maurício Rua via TKO to win the title in 2011 and went on to defend his title six times with wins over fighters named: Quinton Jackson, Lyoto Machida, Rashad Evans, Vitor Belfort, Chael Sonnen and finally back in September against Alexander Gustafsson.
No doubt his last fight was his toughest challenge in his title reign and most people are looking ahead for the rematch between Bones Jones and Alexander Gustafsson.
Jones is 6’4ft and has two submissions, 1 KO and three fight of the night bonuses under his belt. Also the youngest Youngest Fighter to win a UFC title. Throw in the fact that he holds the record of Longest win streak in UFC Light Heavyweight history with ten. Throw in that fact as well as having Most successful light heavyweight title defenses in UFC history with six. No one can argue the fact that he is one of the greatest Light Heavyweight fighters ever.
The challenger, Glover Teixeira (22–2) and is no doubt the number one contender in the 205 division. When Teixeira made his UFC debut not a lot of people took him as a real threat to Jon Jones or his title. Teixeira beat Rampage Jackson and dominated the fight with the Former Light Heavyweight champion for three rounds back in January of 2013. He knocked off James Te Huna in a submission victory and finished 2013 off in a strong performance against Ryan Bader with a knockout of the night award in September.
The craziest thing about this guy is that he has not lost in eight years (2006) like I said above, people are overlooking him and he knows that, he will show Saturday night why he belongs to be in the UFC title hunt.
Comparisons (Stats from UFC.com)
Stand Up Game
Teixeira is the better striker with 6.91 punches landed a minute compared to Jones who has 4.15.
Jones has a better accuracy percentage with 54% compared to Teixeira 47%.
However, Teixeira avoids more strikes with a 67% average compared to Jones with a 65% average.
Teixeira has a 62% of KO/TKO finishes compared to Jones, who has a 42% average of those types of finishes.
Jones has a 32% average of submission finishes compared to Teixeira, who has a 23% average.
Jones also has more Decision victories with 26% average compared to Teixeira who has 14%.
Even though Jones is known for his finishes, Teixeira takes the cake with spectacular finishes.
Here is the part Jones needs to avoid and that’s the ground game.
Teixeira has a 4.8 % takedown percentage in his fights compared to Jones who has 2.4%
Teixeira also has a better takedown accuracy with 60% compared to Jones who has 50%.
Finally Teixeira has a 100% takedown defense; Jones is going to have to work on that.
You can write the best predictions column in the world, however stats do not lie and there it is. Stats wise, Teixeira should win this fight.